Housing Market Update: Supply Climbs 5%, Biggest Increase in Nearly a Year
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The supply of homes for sale is picking up in time for spring homebuying season, and improving inventory is attracting some buyers.
The total number of U.S. homes for sale climbed 5%, the biggest year-over-year uptick since May 2023, during the four weeks ending March 17. New listings rose 15%, the biggest increase since June 2021.
The surge in listings is bringing some buyers back to the market. Mortgage-purchase applications and Redfin’s Homebuyer Demand Index–a measure of requests for tours and other buying services from Redfin agents–are each up roughly 9% month over month.
Increasing inventory has yet to dampen price growth. The median U.S. home-sale price is up 5.3% year over year, the second-biggest increase since October 2022, and the median monthly mortgage payment is just $31 shy of its all-time high due to elevated mortgage rates and prices. Redfin economists expect mortgage rates to gradually decline throughout 2024, an outlook that was little changed in the wake of this week’s Fed press conference, in which the Fed held interest rates steady.
Leading indicators
Indicators of homebuying demand and activity
Value (if applicable)
Recent change
Year-over-year change
Source
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate
7.03% (March 20)
Up from 6.92% a week earlier
Up from 6.67%
Mortgage News Daily
Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate
6.74% (week ending March 14)
Down from 6.88% a week earlier; first decline after 5 weeks of increases
Up from 6.6%
Freddie Mac
Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted)
Down 1% from a week earlier; up 9% from a month earlier (as of week ending March 15)
Down 14%
Mortgage Bankers Association
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted)
Up 8% from a month earlier (as of week ending March 17)
Down 5%
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index, a measure of requests for tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents
Google searches for “home for sale”
Essentially unchanged from a month earlier (as of March 18)
Down 18%
Google Trends
Touring activity
Up 29% from the start of the year (as of March 19)
At this time last year, it was up 19% from the start of 2023
ShowingTime, a home touring technology company
Key housing-market data
U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending March 17, 2024
Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas, and is based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision.
Four weeks ending March 17, 2024
Year-over-year change
Notes
Median sale price
$374,047
5.3%
Biggest increase since Oct. 2022 (except the 4 weeks ending Feb. 11, when there was a 5.4% increase)
Median asking price
$404,273
5.7%
Median monthly mortgage payment
$2,685 at a 6.74% mortgage rate
8.5%
Just $31 shy of all-time high set in October 2023
Pending sales
82,464
-4.4%
New listings
88,902
15.1%
Biggest increase since June 2021
Active listings
795,645
4.9%
Biggest increase since May 2023
Months of supply
3.4 months
+0.4 pts.
4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions.
Share of homes off market in two weeks
41.3%
Up from 40%
Median days on market
43
-1 day
Share of homes sold above list price
25.9%
Up from 25%
Share of homes with a price drop
5.7%
+1.5 pts.
Average sale-to-list price ratio
98.7%
+0.3 pts.
Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending March 17, 2024
Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy.
Metros with biggest year-over-year increases
Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases
Notes
Median sale price
San Jose, CA (18.9%)
Miami (15.6%)
West Palm Beach, FL (15.3%)
Newark, NJ (14.6%)
Anaheim, CA (14.5%)
San Antonio, TX (-1.5%)
Declined in just 1 metro
Pending sales
San Francisco (18.1%)
San Jose, CA (16.4%)
Cincinnati (13.7%)
Milwaukee (11.8%)
Austin, TX (8.8%)
Atlanta (-16.1%)
San Antonio, TX (-15.4%)
Houston (-13.8%)
Miami (-13.6%)
Jacksonville, FL (-11.6%)
Increased in 15 metros
New listings
San Jose, CA (40%)
Phoenix (31.9%)
Sacramento, CA (29.9%)
Tampa, FL (28.1%)
Miami (27.6%)
Atlanta (-4.6%)
Chicago (-0.7%)
Declined in just 2 metros
Refer to our metrics definition page for explanations of all the metrics used in this report.
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This article was originally published by a www.redfin.com . Read the Original article here. .